由於產業之群聚效應及工業園區產能的逐增,環境負荷逐漸加重。為了瞭解工業區設置對於區域性之污染貢獻程度及鄰近環境的污染衝擊,本研究以中部科學工業園區台中基地為研究對象,藉由鎖定污染源以瞭解園區內及外部之污染貢獻程度。本研究以於2005年3月至2006年2月在其周界設置8-10個空氣採樣點並監測園區周界空氣中之無機酸鹼(HF、H2SO4、HCl、HNO3、NH3)及環境資料為依據,以期望值理論(Expected Value Theory)與線性規劃模式(Linear Programming Model)為基礎,建立污染源鑑定之推估機制,透過地理資訊系統以協助污染責任之釐清。結果發現本研究期間氣態污染貢獻推估約平均有55%以上來自園區外部鄰近區域,固態污染貢獻推估則平均約有58%以上來自園區外部鄰近區域,顯示鄰近區域的單位貢獻量高於台中基地之單位貢獻量,其中來自於基地東南方的台中市區、南方的台中工業區及環繞於園區周界之移動性污染源貢獻量具有相當大之污染貢獻解釋能力。
Numerous industry or science parks are built for seeking the economical growth in most of developing countries. These industry or science parks provide a convenient cannel for properties integrations, together with the gather of pollutants. Avoiding the damage to the inhabitants and sensitive environment neighbor with the industry parks has become a critical issue in environmental risk management. This paper proposed a new approach based on expected values theory cooperated with linear programming to identify the concentration contribution of pollution sources to a given monitoring station. For this purpose Taichung Science and Industry Park in Taiwan was selected to testify its applicability in practice. After one-year monitoring program and credible data analysis, the results found out that about 30% the following pollutants come from Central Taiwan Science Park, another about above 55% derived from movable pollution source, other are contributed by fragmentary factories in neighborhood.