第八屆遠南殘障運動會輪椅籃球比賽前四名球隊間得分差異及預測

The Difference and Prediction of the Score Performance of the Former 4 in Wheelchair Basketball Competition of FESPIC

陳順義(Shun-Yi Chen) ； 張又文(yow-wen Chang) ； 李鴻棋(Hong-Chi Lee)

《文化體育學刊》 1輯 (2003/06) Pp. 205-214

https://doi.org/10.6634/JPSS-CCU.200306.01.21

摘要

本研究的主要目的是比較第八屆遠南運動會（FESPIC）輪椅籃球比賽前四名球隊的得分差異，並進行四隊得分的預測。以2002年第八屆遠南運動會中輪椅籃球比賽前四名球隊為研究對象，收集四隊於本次比賽中的所有攻守統計紀錄作為基本資料，並以球隊得分為效標變項，其餘技術表現作為預測變項。首先使用單因子變異數分析法（One-way ANOVA）來探討四隊間的得分差異情形，若達顯著水準，則以薛費氏多重比較分析法（Scheff's multiple comparison）進行事後比較，接著以皮爾遜相關法尋求效標變項與預測變項間的關係，並以逐步回歸法（Stepwise regression）分別進行四隊的得分預測。
結果顯示：四隊在得分表現上無顯著差異。四隊在兩分中籃次數、兩分試投次數、助攻及抄截的表現都與得分有顯著的相關。在得分的預測上韓國隊、日本隊及中華台北隊均以兩分中籃次數為最具預測力變項；而澳洲隊卻以抄截為具預測力變項。
總結，四隊在比賽的策略上均以兩分區域的攻防為原則，而助攻及抄截是未來擬定攻防訓練的重要課題之一。

關鍵字

輪椅籃球 ； 得分表現

並列摘要

The purpose of this study was to compare the difference and predict the score performance of the former 4 in wheelchair basketball competition of FESPIC.
The former 4 in wheelchair Basketball of FESPIC are the subjects of this study. Collected the games score sheet of the four teams. The score performance is the criterion and the other variables are the predictors. Compared the difference of the score performance between these groups by One-way ANOVA. The data of the relationship between the criterion and the predictors was from Pearson r. And predicted the criterion by Stepwise method.
The result indicated that: These groups had not significant in score performance. Between score performance and 2 point made、2 point attempts、assist、steals had the significant relationships of four teams. In prediction of the score performance of these groups choose the 2 point made by Korea、Japan、Chinese Taipei and choose the steals by Australia is the predictors of the best predictable ability.
In conclusion, in principle the four teams concentrate the offensive and defensive tactics of the match in the two points area. The assist and steals will be the one of the important courses of planning the offensive and defensive exercise in future.

並列關鍵字

Wheelchair Basketball ； Score Performance