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研究生: 高育駿
Kao, Yu-Chun
論文名稱: 以專利與文字探勘技術建立公司信用評等之預測模型之研究
Credit Rating Prediction Using Sentiment Analysis, Corporate Innovation, and Financial Ratios
指導教授: 陳灯能
Chen, Deng-Neng
賴佳瑜
Lai, Chia-Yu
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理學院 - 資訊管理系所
Department of Management Information Systems
畢業學年度: 108
語文別: 英文
論文頁數: 62
中文關鍵詞: 企業創新專利信用評等機器學習情緒分析
外文關鍵詞: Corporate Innovation, patents, credit rating, machine learning, sentiment analysis
DOI URL: http://doi.org/10.6346/NPUST202000410
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  • 企業信用評等是一個複雜且昂貴的過程,如何有效評估企業信用評等,便成為金融市場上的重要問題,傳統上大多數現有研究僅使用財務指標來預測公司的績效或信用等級,本研究之目的是利用財務和非財務指標來探討企業信用評等的評量方法,除了傳統的財務指標之外,本研究另外加入了企業新聞的情緒分析,並利用專利探勘技術評估其創新指標,綜合這些財務及非財務指標利用機器學習分類器建立公司信用評等的分類模型。研究結果顯示,本研究提出的模型可以通過集成學習分類器有效分類企業信用等級,研究結果可以幫助企業從財務和非財務指標中識別出重要因素,從而提高其信用評級,並可協助金融市場準確進行企業信用評等。

    In recent years, finance and corporate innovation has gained increasing attention and emerged as a significant subject of research from researchers and practitioners. Corporate credit rating is a complex and expensive process. However, most existing studies only use financial indicators to predict firm performance or credit ratings. The goal of this research is to examine the relationship between corporate innovation, financial news sentiment analysis, and a firm’s financial performance, as well as its credit rating structures by using financial and non-financial indicators. In this work, we propose a predictive model while utilizing machine learning classifiers to extract important features to predict corporate credit ratings. The experimental results show our proposed model can effectively predict the corporate credit rating by ensemble learning classifiers. Our research can help corporates identify the significant factors from financial and non-financial indicators to improve their credit ratings.

    摘要 II
    ABSTRACT IV
    謝致 VI
    TABLE OF CONTENTS VII
    LIST OF TABLES IX
    LIST OF FIGURES X
    1. INTRODUCTION 1
    2. LITERATURE REVIEW 5
    2.1 INNOVATION THROUGH PATENT ANALYSIS 5
    2.2 ASPECT-BASED SENTIMENT ANALYSIS 7
    2.3 MACHINE LEARNING FOR CREDIT RATING MODEL 9
    3. METHODOLOGY 11
    3.1 DATA COLLECTION 11
    3.2 TEXT PREPROCESSING 13
    3.3 ASPECT-BASED SENTIMENT EXTRACTION 14
    3.4 CORPORATE INNOVATION FEATURES EXTRACTION 17
    3.5 FINANCIAL RATIOS FEATURES EXTRACTION 18
    4. EXPERIMENTS 22
    4.1 ASPECT-BASED SENTIMENT ANALYSIS 22
    4.2 DATASETS AND DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 22
    4.3 MODEL EVALUATION 28
    4.4 EMPIRICAL RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 29
    5. CONCLUSION 40
    5.1 RESEARCH RESULT 40
    5.2 RESEARCH CONTRIBUTION 42
    5.3 RESEARCH LIMITATIONS 42
    6. REFERENCES 44
    APPENDIX A HYPERPARAMETER CONFIGURATION 50
    APPENDIX B COMPANY STATISTICS 51
    作者介紹 61

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