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研究生: 鍾函芳
論文名稱: 共同基金羊群行為之探究-以中國為例
指導教授: 陳慧玲
學位類別: 碩士
Master
系所名稱: 管理研究所
Graduate Institute of Management
論文出版年: 2010
畢業學年度: 98
語文別: 中文
論文頁數: 50
中文關鍵詞: 共同基金羊群行為分析師股票推薦變動分析師股票推薦離差明星分析師
英文關鍵詞: Mutual funds herding, Analysts’ revisions, Dispersions of analysts’ recommendations, star analysts’ recommendations
論文種類: 學術論文
相關次數: 點閱:125下載:10
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  • 本研究旨在探討中國共同基金羊群行為現象,以及中國證券分析師之股票推薦評等之變動與離差,對於中國共同基金羊群行為之影響,並探究明星分析師之股票推薦評等之變動與離差對於共同基金羊群行為之影響。
      實證結果顯示,中國共同基金確實存在羊群行為。此外,分析師修正股票推薦評等,對於共同基金之羊群行為並未造成顯著影響,無論分析師調升或調降股票推薦,對共同基金羊群行為之影響皆不顯著。然而,明星分析師股票推薦評等變動顯著影響共同基金之羊群行為,特別地,明星分析師調降股票推薦,會造成共同基金有顯著之羊群行為,而非明星分析師對於共同基金羊群行為並不存在此影響。另外,在控制明星分析師股票推薦變動及明星分析師股票推薦離差個別效果後,明星分析師股票推薦離差並未顯著影響共同基金羊群行為。

    This study examines the trading activity of the mutual fund industry from 2007 through the first quarter of 2010 to determine whether funds herd when they trade stocks. In addition, this study investigates the relation between herding of mutual fund and consensus revisions of the analysts’ stock recommendations. In particular, this study examines the relation between herding of mutual funds in China and consensus revisions of the star analysts’ stock recommendations. This study also examines the association between dispersions of analysts’ recommendations and mutual funds herding.
      The empirical results reveal that herding by mutual funds in China in average stocks from 2007 to the first quarter of 2010. However, there is no significant evidence that mutual funds in China trade in response to both analysts’ consensus upgrades and downgrades. The evidence indicate that mutual funds in China herd with star analysts’ recommendation revisions, especially herding with star analysts’ consensus downgrades. Additionally, the results show that mutual funds herding is not significantly related to dispersions of star analysts’ recommendations.

    中文摘要 I 英文摘要 II 致謝辭 III 目錄 IV 圖表目錄 V 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究動機 1 第二節 研究目的 3 第三節 研究架構 3 第四節 研究貢獻 5 第二章 文獻探討 6 第一節 共同基金羊群行為 6 第二節 分析師股票推薦 7 第三節 中國共同基金市場介紹 8 第四節 中國證券分析師 11 第三章 研究方法 13 第一節 研究假說 13 第二節 研究模式 16 第四章 實證結果及分析 24 第一節 敘述統計量分析 24 第二節 中國共同基金羊群行為 27 第三節 共同基金羊群效果與分析師股票推薦關聯性 32 第四節 共同基金羊群效果與明星分析師股票推薦之關聯性 36 第五節 敏感性分析 39 第五章 結論與建議 45 第一節 研究結論 45 第二節 建議 46 參考文獻 48

    壹、 中文部分
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