遷村涉及許多不同層面,造成遷村議題較爲複雜;而且對照以往的經驗,以遷村解決天然災害損失成功的案例並不多見,其主要原因之一往往肇因於遷村政策利害關係人對於計畫內容無法認同,導致計畫的延宕或失敗。有鑑於此,本研究從新制度主義的觀點,採用政策利害關係人分析、深度訪談、政治可行性清單與腳本撰寫等方法,探討以遷村方式降低天然災害的「政治可行性」(political feasibility)分析;亦即探討高雄縣藤枝新舊部落遷村個案中,相關遷村政策參與者的動機、信念、資源與立場等,及其對遷村政策造成的影響。本研究期望透過遷村的政治可行性分析,能夠加強政策規劃能力,並且瞭解該政策參與者的動機、信念與立場,及可能碰到的問題。
Relocation involves a variety of aspects, which makes this issue more complicated. Based on previous experience, lack of stakeholders' endorsement to the policy contents is one of the reasons why it is seldom to see successful cases for relocation for reducing losses from natural hazards. Accordingly, this study explores the political feasibility analysis of relocation for natural hazard mitigation from the viewpoint of New Institutionalism. The methods included are the methods of stakeholder analysis, interview, list of political feasibility, and scenario writing. With all the methods, this study discusses the motives, beliefs, resources, positions, and influences of stakeholders on the relocation policy of Teng-Zhi Tribe, Kaoshiung County. Hopefully, through political feasibility analysis, we can strengthen our abilities for policy formulation, and also understand the motives, beliefs, and positions of participants.