史瓦濟蘭經濟成長之因素

柏南比

doi:10.6342/NTU.2014.00202

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史瓦濟蘭經濟成長之因素

The Determinants of Economic Growth in Swaziland

柏南比 , Masters　　Advisor：雷立芬　　

英文 DOI： 10.6342/NTU.2014.00202

經濟成長的決定因素；單位根；共整合；向量誤差修正模型； determinants of economic growth ； unit root ； cointegration ； vector error correction model

Abstract │ Reference (92) │ Altmetrics

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This paper investigates whether the mentioned determinants of economic growth have contributed to the poor performance in Swaziland economic growth between 1965 and 2011 and if so which causal factors have contributed to this diminished economic performance. Time series data is used to test the unit root using Augmented Dickely Fuller (ADF) test. Then cointegration test and Vector Error Correction (VEC) Model were done respectively to account for the factors that influence the growth of Swaziland economy. 
The empirical results indicate that agriculture sector is statistically significant to GDP and have a positive relationship; however industry and service sectors are positively affecting economic growth although they are statistically insignificant. Physical capital formation and government expenditure are positively related to GDP growth; however, they are statistically insignificant. Export, nominal discount and foreign aid indicate negative relationship with GDP growth; nevertheless they are statistically insignificant. As found out in the study, it is recommended that formulating relevant policies and strategies would enhance these determinants to increase economic growth in the country

Reference ( 92 ) 〈TOP〉

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Barro, R. (1990). Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 5103-5125.
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