估計酒駕罰則加重的政策效果

張可澔

doi:10.6342/NTU201701188

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估計酒駕罰則加重的政策效果

Estimating the Effects of Drunk Driving Policy in Taiwan

張可澔 , Masters　　Advisor：樊家忠　　

繁體中文 DOI： 10.6342/NTU201701188

酒醉駕車；罰則效果；執勤效果；酒測路檢；差異中之差異估計法； Driving Under Influence ； Penalty Effect ； Enforcement Effect ； Sobriety Checkpoint ； Difference-in-difference Method

Abstract │ Reference (13) │ Altmetrics

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In Taiwan, there was a major law reform in June 2013 that introduced criminal charge and increased fine for Driving under the influence (DUI) offenders, combined with a short period of intensified sobriety checkpoints. To this end, we use Traffic Accident Data (which provide comprehensive records of all traffic accidents with any fatalities and injuries) and difference-in-difference method to estimate the effect of law change. Because enforcement is intensified immediately after the implementation of the law change, the result will includes penalty effect and enforcement effect. To deal with this issue, we estimate the effect of intensive sobriety checkpoint operation running from June to July 2012.
The result shows that both law change and intensified sobriety checkpoints significantly decrease the number of nighttime DUI fatalities and injuries, and these effects lasted at least three months. In contrast to the nighttime, the number of daytime DUI fatalities and injuries are remain unchanged. Additionally, the penalty effect of the 2013 law change is greater than 12%. On the other hand, we found that the spillover effect doesn’t exit by observing the non-DUI fatalities and injuries. Last of all, we replace the dependent variable with DUI driver’s age, degrees of heavy episodic drinking, average passengers and daily crime by applying the same DD estimation. All of them are statistical insignificance.

Reference ( 13 ) 〈TOP〉

蔡續安（2009），「交通安全政策成效分析-酒後駕車處罰之研究」，碩士論文，1-67。
連結：
Bernhoft, I.M.(2003), ”Effect of lowering the alcohol limit in Denmark”, Accident
連結：
Carpenter, Christopher.(2004), “How Do Zero Tolerance Drunk Driving Laws Work?”, Journal of Health Economics, 23(1), pp.61–83.
連結：
Carpenter, C. & Dobkin, C. & Warman C.(2015), ”The Mechanisms of Alcohol Control”, The Journal of Human Resources, 51(2), pp.328-356
連結：
Daniel, Albalate.(2008), ”Lowering Blood Alcohol Content Levels to save Lives: The European Experience”, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 27(1),
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