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Trump Administration's North Korea Policy: From "Strategic Patience" to "Maximum Pressure"

摘要


This paper reviews the Trump administration's North Korea policy, including factors contributing to the reconciliation as well as the challenges and perspectives of Pyongyang's denuclearization. The paper argues that the smooth conclusion of the Trump-Kim summit on June 12, 2018 marked a strategic adjustment in the Trump administration's North Korea policy from "strategic patience" to a new approach of "maximum pressure". However, Washington will examine Pyongyang's actions and commitments at every stage and give feedback comparable to the progress of denuclearization, including sanction relief, aids, and other political and diplomatic incentives. It would be a long process. Uncertainties and risks are high. How sincere will Kim in carrying out its denuclearization promise remains the key issue for the Northeast Asia situation and Trump's equation in the region.

參考文獻


Kube, Courtney, Ken Dilanian and Carol E. Lee. “North Korea Has Increased Nuclear Production at Secret Sites, Say U.S. Officials.” NBC News, June 30, 2018. https://www.nbcnews.com/news/north-korea/north-korea-has-increased-nuclear-production-secret-sites-say-u-n887926.
Landler, Mark and David E. Sanger. “On North Korea, Trump Finds Himself in Same Position as His Predecessors.” The New York Times, March 6, 2018. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/06/us/politics/trump-north-korea.html.
Manning, Robert A. Manning. “North Korea May See America and China as Paper Tigers: Here is Why This Is a Problem.” The National Interest, September 12, 2017. https://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/north-korea-may-see-america-china-paper-tigers-here-why-22261.
Manson, Katrina and Bryan Harris. “North Korea Threatens Guam after Trump ‘Fire and Fury’ Vow.” The Financial Times, August 9, 2017. https://www.ft.com/content/5564982c-7c6c-11e7-9108-edda0bcbc928.
Manson, Katrina Manson. “How Serious is the North Korean Nuclear Threat?” The Financial Times, December 22, 2017.https://www.ft.com/content/a4981f0e-e5a3-11e7-97e2-916d4fbac0da.

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