各國政府健康支出與經濟成長關係之驗證

The Role of Government Health Expenditures in Economic Growth

柏婉貞(Wan-Chen Po)

《東吳經濟商學學報》 77期 (2012/06) Pp. 1-22

https://doi.org/10.29735/SJEB.201206.0001

摘要

本研究應用Hansen（1999）追蹤門檻模型，檢視1980至2010年間，112個國家的政府健康支出與經濟成長之關係。本文以各國生命預期作為門檻變數，將樣本區分為不同體制（regimes）。研究結果發現在不同的經濟發展階段，政府健康支出對經濟成長的影響效果端賴各國生命預期是否超過某一特定門檻值而不同：在低生命預期的國家，政府健康支出會提升經濟成長，二者存在顯著正向關係，但在中、高生命預期的國家，二者的關係即變為不顯著。本文進一步發現這些國家的人均所得，相對而言較低生命預期國家高，且政府健康支出反而會降低資本累積，導致經濟成長降低，有助於解釋政府健康支出無法促使這些國家經濟成長的原因。

關鍵字

追蹤門檻模型 ； 政府健康支出 ； 經濟成長

並列摘要

This paper uses a panel threshold model analysis to investigate the relationship between government health expenditure and economic growth for 112 countries over the period from 1980 to 2010. We use life expectancy as the threshold variable and separate data into three different regimes. The results of the threshold regression show that when the countries life expectancy is lower, there exists a significantly positive relationship between government health expenditure and economic growth. However, when the countries have middle or high life expectancy, we are unable to find evidence of such a significant relationship. Further in depth analysis reveals that relatively higher per GDP which decrease capital is able to explain why we are unable to find a significant relationship between these countries.

並列關鍵字

Panel threshold model ； Government health expenditure ； Economic growth

參考文獻

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