- 期刊
海洋休閒旅遊與總體經濟變數關聯之研究
A Study of Relationship between Marine Tourism and Macroeconomic Variables
摘要
本研究嘗試使用2002年至2019年交通部觀光局資料，探討海洋休閒旅遊與總體經濟變數之關聯性，同時納入境外遊客來臺人數、國人國內旅遊人數加以比較，討論其差異與提供休閒旅遊發展的政策建議參考。結果顯示研究期間海洋休閒旅遊人數與GDP、NDI、CPI及匯率皆具有長期均衡關係；海洋休閒旅遊人數與GDP、NDI與CPI皆具雙向回饋關係，惟與匯率無因果關係；海洋休閒旅遊人數對GDP與NDI的衝擊反應分析為正向。最後，實證結果發現不同類型的旅遊人數資料存在明顯差異，其中海洋休閒旅遊人數與總體經濟變數之間的關係最為顯著，而境外遊客來臺人數對匯率的關聯不顯著，研究結果有助海洋休閒旅遊政策擬定參考及補足過往對海洋休閒旅遊文獻的匱乏。
並列摘要
This study explored the correlation between marine tourism and macroeconomic variables based on the Tourism Bureau, Ministry of Transportation and Communications data from 2002 to 2019. It compared the number of inbound tourists and the number of domestic trips by citizens within Taiwan to discuss the differences. Our findings serve as a reference for policy recommendations on tourism development. This study's results indicate a long-term equilibrium relationship between the number of marine leisure tourists and the GDP, NDI, CPI, and exchange rates during the study period. There was a bilateral feedback relationship between the number of marine leisure tourists and the GDP, NDI, and CPI, but no causal relationship between the number of marine leisure tourists with exchange rates. The analysis showed that the impact response of the number of marine leisure tourists to the GDP and NDI was positive. Finally, this study verified that there was a significant difference when the type of tourists varied. The relationship between the number of marine leisure tourists and the macroeconomic variables was the most significant. In contrast, the relationships between the number of inbound tourists and exchange rate were insignificant. This study's results can serve as a reference for formulating marine tourism policies and complement the need for more literature on marine tourism.