- 期刊
The Study of Grey Forecasting in Replacement for Economic Forecasting Model
並列摘要
We examine the accuracy of the model with empirical study focusing on regression analysis in econometric model. Then we compare the result from the model and that from the four GM (1, 1) shadow models in grey forecast. To appraise the ability of the forecasting model, we use MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) to examine the accuracy of the model. We find all the MAPE values are between 10~20, which yield an excellent forecasting ability. Though the values forecasted by 4 GM (1, 1) shadow models are larger than those from the forecasting model built by this research, they are within the scope excellent forecasting ability to prove that we can replace econometric regression forecasting model with grey forecast partially.
被引用紀錄
劉慧君（2009）。臺灣地區未來牙醫師人力供需研究─灰色預測模式之應用〔碩士論文，朝陽科技大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://www.airitilibrary.com/Article/Detail?DocID=U0078-0801201511154574
延伸閱讀
- 趙慕芬（2003）。An Application of Grey Forecasting Model in Evaluating Structural Unemployment。人力資源管理學報，3(1)，113-127。https://doi.org/10.6147/JHRM.2003.0301.06
- ASIF, H. M. S., HAYAT, M. F., & AHMAD, T. (2014). An Efficient and Simplified Model for Forecasting using SRM. Mehran University Research Journal of Engineering and Technology, 33(1), a49-58. https://www.airitilibrary.com/Article/Detail?DocID=P20170126001-201401-201702030001-201702030001-a49-58
- 翁詣修（2020）。Application of Grey Theory in Forecasting Analysis of Customer Loss〔碩士論文，國立臺中科技大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://www.airitilibrary.com/Article/Detail?DocID=U0061-2708202003071300
- 黃桂芳（2015）。Improvement of grey forecasting model precision by Savitzy-Golay filter method〔碩士論文，義守大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6343/ISU.2015.00055
- 陳志堅、徐振凱、鄭儀誠、許銘修（2008）。Using Gray Forecasting Method to Monitor the Autocorrelation Process。聯大學報，5(2)，101-115。https://doi.org/10.29847/JNUU.200812.0020