以3S理論與機器學習分析頂尖混雙桌球選手接發球技戰術：林昀儒／鄭怡靜之個案研究

Analysis of Receiving Techniques and Tactics of Top Mixed Doubles Table Tennis Players Based on 3S Principle and Machine Learning: A Case Study of Yun-Ju Lin/I-Ching Cheng

許銘華(Ming-Hua Hsu) ； 于承煥(Cheng-Huan Yu) ； 許英麟(Ying-Lin Hsu) ； 蔡亞倫(Ya-Lun Tsai) ； 吳昇光(Sheng-Kuang Wu)

《大專體育學刊》 24卷4期 (2022/12) Pp. 563-583

https://doi.org/10.5297/ser.202212_24(4).0009

摘要

本研究目的是應用3S理論（speed, spin, spot）分析頂尖桌球選手在混雙比賽中的接發球及接後銜接之技戰術表現，藉以找出選手致勝技戰術模型。以臺灣選手林昀儒／鄭怡靜（簡稱林／鄭配）為研究對象，在2019～2020年期間林／鄭配所參加的22場國際賽事為研究範圍，採用3T Magic團隊所開發之「桌球技戰術智能分析系統」為蒐集工具，所獲資料以描述統計、羅吉斯回歸進行分析。研究結果指出：林昀儒在接發球達顯著得分技戰術組合有「擰高速球」、「拉高速球」、「擺短下旋球」和「擰正手位置球」；顯著失分組合有「搓正手位置球」。鄭怡靜在接發球未出現顯著得分組合；達顯著失分組合有「擺短慢速球」、「擺短不旋球」和「擺短中路球」。林／鄭配在第2、4拍銜接中達顯著得分組合有「高速銜接高速」、「中速銜接高速」、「低速銜接高速」、「高速銜接中速」、「下旋銜接上旋」、「側上旋銜接上旋」和「下旋銜接下旋」；顯著失分組合有「控制銜接防守」和「攻擊銜接防守」。本研究結論證實採用羅吉斯回歸結合3S理論確實能深入分析雙打選手在比賽中複雜的球路變化，從選手致勝的技戰術組合可推論出「強勢銜接」為目前混雙比賽趨勢。建議在「強勢銜接」之際仍須巧妙搭配3S所形成的戰術多樣化，將能為選手帶來更有利的致勝局勢。

關鍵字

描述統計 ； 羅吉斯回歸 ； 強勢銜接

並列摘要

The purpose of this study was to analyze the receiving technical and tactical performance of the world's top table tennis (TT) players in mixed doubles by adopting the 3S principle (speed, spin and spot), and to identify the winning patterns of the players in the games. Taiwan TT players, Yun-Ju Lin and I-Ching Cheng (referred to as Lin / Cheng) participated in 22 international competitions during 2019–2020, were analyzed. "The Intellectual System in Competitive TT" developed by the 3T Magic team was used as a data collection tool. The data obtained were analyzed by descriptive statistics and logistic regression. Results indicated that: First, the important patterns that have a positive influence on Lin's return service were: "side twist high speed ball," "drive loop high speed ball," "drop shot back spin," and "side twist forehand position," while the negative impact pattern was "long push forehand position." Second, achieving a positive significant impact on Cheng's important patterns did not appear; but the negative impact factors were "drop shot slow speed ball," "drop shot no spin" and "drop shot middle position." Third, achieving positive effects on Lin / Cheng with the second and fourth shot patterns were, "high speed connect high speed," "medium speed connect high speed," "low speed connect high speed," "high speed connect medium speed," "back spin connect top spin," "side top spin connect top spin," and "back spin connect back spin" whereas the negative influence patterns included "control connect defensive" and "offensive connect defensive." Our findings conclude that the use of logistic regression combines with the 3S Principle can analyze the players' complicated ball path changes in return service in greater depth. From the winning patterns of the players, it inferred that "powerful connection" is the current trend in mixed doubles. However, "powerful connection" needs to skillfully combine with the different variations of 3S to achieve the advantageous winning situation.

並列關鍵字

descriptive statistics ； logistic regression ； powerful connection

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