解析中共觀點的美國亞太「再平衡」政策

Analyzing the Unite State's Policy of "Rebalancing" in Asia-Pacific Region from the PRC's Perspective

楊仕樂(Shih-Yueh Yang)

《國防雜誌》 28卷2期 (2013/03) Pp. 19-35

https://doi.org/10.6326/NDJ.2013.28(2).2

摘要

美國自2011年年底開始明白宣示推動其亞太地區的「再平衡」政策，對此中共迄今的反應是平淡的。中共官方的發言歡迎美國積極參與區域事務，並重申美中合作的基調，至於官方媒體與學界的評論雖有半數持負面解讀，但持中立或正面見解者也不在少數。從此觀之，中共並未一口咬定美國的「再平衡」就是冷戰圍堵的重現，中共對美國雖難免有負面的刻板印象，但並不打算嚴厲回擊美國的「再平衡」，使美中衝突變成自我實現的預言。畢竟，美國迄今的「再平衡」舉動都是象徵意義大於實質意義，財政狀況吃緊也使美國難以具體強硬的方式進行「再平衡」，且美國國內亦不乏反對「再平衡」政策的聲浪。在這種情況下，中共當局實無須反應過度。

關鍵字

亞太地區 ； 東亞 ； 再平衡 ； 美中關係

並列摘要

The US initiated its policy of ”Rebalancing” in Asia-Pacific Region in the end of 2011, and the response from the Chinese authorities to date is calm. Chinese official statements welcomed the US to participate in the region actively and reiterated the cooperative tone regarding Sino-US relations. As for the opinions in official media and academia, more than half of them held a negative view, but those with neutral or positive views are also numerous. Given this, the article argues that, the Chinese authorities do not assert that the US ”Rebalancing” policy in the region is necessarily a new Cold War or containment. The PRC does have a negative stereotype regarding the US but does not intend to make the Sino-US conflict a self-fulfilling prophecy. After all, the US actions taken so far are mostly symbolic, and the US is also unable to fulfill the ”Rebalancing” policy rigorously under the financial constraints. In addition, there are also significant objections to the ”rebalancing” policy inside the US. As a result, it is not nessary for the Chinese authorities to overreact.

並列關鍵字

Asia-Pacific Region ； East Asia ； Rebalancing ； Sino-US Relations