Study of Water Scarcity Based on Water Resources Carring Capacity Model

Zhishui Yin

《World Scientific Research Journal》 5卷10期 (2019/10) Pp. 16-29

https://doi.org/10.6911/WSRJ.201910_5(10).0003

摘要

Aiming at the problem of water scarcity in many areas, this paper is to analyze regional shortage situation and develop a corresponding intervention model to ease the tension of water supply. The paper comprehensive evaluation of regional water resources carrying capacity model (WRCC) and intervention model of water desalination facilities to solve water scarcity of Shandong Province. Besides, a grey forecasting model is established to predict the future index value. And we arrive at a conclusion that fresh water will be moderately exploited and water resources supply will just narrowly meet the demand in the next 15 years. According to the relevant data, this paper calculates the number of annual seawater desalination projects in the future finally.

關鍵字

Fresh water ； water scarcity ； grey forecasting model ； seawater desalination

參考文獻

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