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Can Democratization Improve International Trade?

摘要


In order to solve the endogeneity between democracy and trade, this paper included the relationship between democracy and factor endowment into the regression equation, and carried out simple least squares regression respectively on the two models with democracy as an important variable and control variable. The regression results show that democracy promotes trade, but the interpretation degree of democracy to trade is relatively low. Only when the control variables are included, the variables have a more obvious interpretation effect on trade. The relationship between democracy and factor endowment will affect the promotion effect of democracy on trade. In order to avoid the inaccuracy of regression results caused by the mutual influence of democracy on import and export trade, this paper discusses the influence of democracy on import and export separately.

關鍵字

Democracy Trade OLS model

參考文獻


Abeliansky A, Krenz A. Democracy and International Trade: Differential Effects from a Panel Quantile Regression Framework[J]. Social Science Electronic Publishing, 2015.
Acemoglu D, Naidu S, Restrepo P, et al. Democracy does Cause Growth[J]. NBERWorking Papers, 2014.
Beverelli C, Fiorini M, Hoekman B. Services Trade Policy and Manufacturing Productivity: The Role of Institutions[J]. Journal of International Economics, 2017, 104:166-182.
David Dollar, Aart Kraay. Institutions, Trade, and Growth [J]. Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003, 50(1):133-162.
Decker J H, Lim J J. Democracy and Trade: An Empirical Study[J]. Economics of Governance, 2009, 10(2):165-186.

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