The Influencing Factors of High-Yield Unsalable Fruit in Guangxi based on System Dynamics

Jianwei Qiu ； Jie Xu

《Frontiers in Economics and Management》 2卷12期 (2021/12) Pp. 1-8

https://doi.org/10.6981/FEM.202112_2(12).0001

摘要

According to statistics, in recent years, the frequent occurrence of unsalable fresh fruits in Guangxi has had a great impact on the income of fruit farmers in remote mountainous areas, especially since the outbreak of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Based on the theory of deep poverty alleviation, this paper uses the method of system dynamics to clarify the four-dimensional causality of fruit farmers' production, fruit merchants' sales, logistics transportation, and government's support. This paper analyzes the mechanism of influencing fresh fruit production and marketing, constructs a four-dimensional dynamic model of fresh fruit production and marketing system, and simulates the model with Vensim software. The results show that: fruit farmers' production, fruit merchants' sales and logistics transportation have a great impact on fresh fruit production and marketing, while government support has a positive impact on fresh fruit production and marketing, but its impact is not significant.

關鍵字

Unsalable Deep Poverty Alleviation ； Coronavirus Disease ； High-Yield but Unsalable Fruit ； System Dynamics ； Four-Dimensional Dynamic

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