跨太平洋夥伴全面進步協定對台灣之經濟影響

The Economic Impacts of Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership on Taiwan

趙健揚(Chien-Yang Chao)

指導教授 ： 林建甫

國立臺灣大學/社會科學院/經濟學研究所/碩士(2019年)

https://doi.org/10.6342/NTU201900087

摘要

談判長達10年的「跨太平洋夥伴關係協定」，共12個成員國，包含：美國、日本、新加坡、越南、馬來西亞、澳大利亞、墨西哥、加拿大、紐西蘭、祕魯、智利、汶萊，涵蓋地區相當廣泛。協定內容以「高品質、高標準」為原則，替當代的FTA立下了最高標準的典範。
　　美國新任總統川普在2017年1月時簽署行政命令，宣布正式退出跨太平洋夥伴關係協定，而餘下的11個成員國則決定在少了美國的情況下繼續完成協議，並在最後簽署了新的貿易協定－「跨太平洋夥伴全面進步協定」。
　　談判成員國皆與我國有緊密的貿易關係，為了能在國際貿易競爭激烈的浪潮下生存，我國近年來一直極力在爭取加入成員國的機會。本文將以GTAP模型來分析臺灣加入CPTPP的經濟影響，而研究結果發現對我國將有正向的GDP成長，但是亦會對國內部分產業造成一定的經濟衝擊。

關鍵字

CPTPP ； GTAP ； 關稅壁壘 ； 台灣

並列摘要

The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) has been negotiated for ten years, and signed by nations from all over the world, including Australia, United States, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore and Vietnam. Its pursue of high quality and standards makes it a paragon for all its contemporary counterparts.
In January 2017, Donald J. Trump, the new President of the United States, signed an executive order withdrawing the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership. The rest of the eleven countries decided to reach an agreement and continued without the United States. After that, they signed a new free-trade deal called Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP).
Taiwan has developed close trade relationship with the nations mentioned above, and in order to survive in the fierce competition of international trading, we have been trying hard to be a part of the agreement in recent years. This paper uses GTAP model to analyze the possible effects of Taiwan joining CPTPP. Research results show that our country might gain positive GDP growth by taking part in the agreement, but also bring negative impact to some industries.

並列關鍵字

CPTPP ； GTAP ； Tariff Barriers ； Taiwan

參考文獻

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