國際間的經貿合作正如火如荼的進展,區域性的經濟組織也持續擴大整合範圍及參與國家。亞洲區域國家在多邊或雙邊貿易協定的強化發展趨勢下,東亞區域的自由貿易協議展開東南亞國協組織的內容鞏固並擴大與中國、日本、韓國等三個國家進行經貿合作機制的整合性探討及執行的可能性評估,形成東協加三的整合趨勢。 台灣缺乏豐富天然資源的利基,與貿易的依存度極高,尤其與東南亞國協及中國、日本、韓國等國家的貿易關係緊密。應密切注意東協加三的發展,由於會員國之間的貿易將因為關稅優惠及便利無礙的貿易與投資環境得以大量流通,對於非會員國的台灣恐將造成貿易排擠及貿易轉移的效果。 本研究先介紹全球區域整合之演進及東南亞國協區域內組織之架構與功能,再針對台灣與東南亞國協及東南亞國協加三之間的實際經貿關係,從貿易、對東南亞國協的直接投資、產業競爭力等方面作分析探討,並試以引力模型來驗證雙方的貿易流量關係,最後提出因應建議及檢討本研究之限制。 期望透過本研究整理,呈現台灣與東協之實際經貿關係,政府相關當局及企業能重視東協加三經貿整合對台灣的影響,並積極採取有效的對策,以降低對台灣的負面衝突。
Recently, there is a worldwide trend of international economic cooperation, while the regional economic organization is also extending the collaboration range as well as the country members. The strongly developing trend is based on multilateral or bilateral trade agreement, therefore, ASEAN also expand to enhance its economic corporate with China, Japan and Korea for a possible affiliation. Taiwan has scarce natural resources and depends on international trade heavily, especially has tight trade relationship with ASEAN, China, Japan and Korea. The huge future trading flow among ASEAN plus three countries will definitely caused the result of trade off and trade transfer effects to Taiwan. This study introduces firstly the development of regional economic integration and the structure and function of ASEAN. Secondly, it is aimed at getting the actual business relationship of ASEAN, China, Japan and Korea will respect to their trading, investment and industrial competition power. Then we verify the two parties trading flow with gravity model. Finally, submit the recommendation as well as the study restrictions. We anticipate Taiwan authority and industry to value the influence performed by this study and to take effective strategy to reduce negative impacts upon Taiwan self.