移民對於經濟績效之影響：以台灣外籍勞工為例

Impact of immigration on economic performance: Foreign workers in Taiwan

伊森泰(Esentur Ivagov)

指導教授 ： 李正文

中原大學/商學院/商學博士學位學程/博士(2019年)

https://doi.org/10.6840/cycu201900679

摘要

此論文主要探討目前於台灣工作的菲律賓籍、印尼籍、越南籍移工對台灣經濟表現之影響。由滯後變數模型（ARDL）發現菲律賓及印尼移工對GDP有正向貢獻，透過誤差修正模型（ECM)調整長短期間關係，並獲得正相關的結果。此外，上述模型也符合序列相關及異方差性的假設。

關鍵字

移民 ； 自回歸分佈滯後（ARDL） ； 誤差修正模型（ECM）

並列摘要

This research focuses on immigrants in Taiwan, particularly the majority of foreign workers that is Indonesian, Filipino and Vietnamese people. The influence or relationship between Taiwan’s economic performance and the number of certain groups of foreigners found to be present. Taiwan’s economic performance represented here in GDP. Findings indicate that Filipino and Indonesian workers have significant positive relationship with GDP. Using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method this study finds robust results. Long run relationships are confirmed as well as short run relationships. The error correction model (ECM) allowed us to find speed of adjustment within one period. In addition the model withstood all required assumptions and common tests like autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity.

並列關鍵字

immigration ； Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) ； Error Correction Model (ECM)

參考文獻

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