臺灣紡織業出口之產品結構及區域結構之情勢分析

Product Structure and Regional Trade Analysis of Taiwan's Textiles Exports

馬潤芬(Run-Fen Ma)

指導教授 ： 楊子菡

國立臺北大學/公共事務學院/財政學系/碩士(2008年)

摘要

摘要
本文的研究目的為探討台灣的紡織品出口在國際市場的表現，並引用楊子菡及廖月波(2004)所導出的指數分析法，利用海關進出口貿易資料，分析我國紡織品出口的產品結構變動，首先進行單一階段t檢定，分析1989-2007期間的表現，其後再將資料分為三個階段，分別對1989~1994、1995~2001及2002~2007等三個期間進行t檢定，觀察隨著時間的經過，產品結構及出口結構的變化軌跡。
檢定結果發現，在出口結構方面，我國的非成衣出口是以開發中國家為主，雖然成衣部份仍以已開國家為主，但對中國及香港、越南的出口比重也逐漸的上升。在產品結構方面，一階段的檢定結果顯示，我國對已開發國家及開發中國家的出口產品發展情勢不同，對已開發國家出口產品的組合不斷提昇(美國除外)；另外，對開發中國家出口的產品組合則呈現惡化或無顯著變化。但在三階段的檢定結果顯示，隨著時間經過產品組合改善的比重提高，雖然產品組合惡化也隨著時間增加，但總的來說，產品組合改善的產品類別占出口比重大於惡化的程度。在產品更迭方面，無論是一階段或三階段檢定結果皆顯示沒有什麼明顯變化，甚至部分有惡化的現象，這說明我國在產品的出口項目的變化不大，且是朝向重點產品發展。

關鍵字

CES模型 ； 紡織業 ； 產品結構 ； 出口結構 ； 區域貿易。

並列摘要

ABSTRACT
The purpose of this study was to investigate the performance of the export of Taiwan’s textile products in the international markets. It utilizes the index analysis constructed by Yang and Liao (2004) and the trading data of Taiwan’s Customs to analyze the change of the product structure of the Taiwan’s textile exports. The indexes are first calculated then t-test conducted to analyze the performance in full sample period, 1989-2007. The sample period is then divided into three sub-periods, which were 1989-1994, 1995-2001 and 2002-2007 in order to observe the changing track in the product structure and export region structure as time passed by.
The test results show that for export region structure Taiwan’s textile exports were mainly sold to the developing countries, and apparels exports mainly to the developed countries. However, the percentage of the apparel exports to China, Hong Kong and Vietnam increased gradually. For product structure, the test results of the whole sample period show that Taiwan had different development trends in its exports to the developed and developing countries. For the exports to the developed countries, the product mix is constantly improving. But for the exports to the developing countries, the product mix is deteriorated. However, the test results of the three subphases showed that as time went by the percentage of the exports with improved product mix increased and the percentage of the exports with degenerated product mix also increased; Overall speaking, the percentage of the category with improved product mix is higher than of the degenerated product mix. For product variety, the test results of whole sample period and three subperiods show that there is no significant change. This means that Taiwan’s exported product items do not change significantly. Moreover, they increasingly concentrated in Taiwan’s key product items.

並列關鍵字

Textile industries ； Product structure ； region structure

參考文獻

汪威錞（2005），紡織品自由貿易新紀元，經濟前曕，第98期，43-47。

楊子菡，廖月波（2004），產品生命週期與產業空洞－台灣電子電器業之實證研

張嘉聲(2004)，核心資源、兩岸分工模式與經營績效關係之研究—以台灣電子業

參考文獻

中文部份