2000 年國際情勢之回顧與展望

A Review of 2000 International Situations and Their Future Prospects

遠景基金會國際問題研究小組(International Affairs Research Division, Prospect Foundation)

《遠景季刊》 2卷1期 (2001/01) Pp. 163-197

https://doi.org/10.7063/PR.200101.0163

摘要

2000年國際情勢的特點呈現：部份區域衝突熱點緩和，部份地區緊張持續；強權問互動雖較1999年穩定，惟彼此競逐日益明朗化；美國總統幾經纏訟產生；東亞多國首長面臨下台桃戰；經濟全球化與區域化持續發展，惟貿易自由化未有進展。
展望新世紀，國際社會仍將在合作與衝突中摸索前進。中共國際地位雖日益提昇，惟其權力轉移缺乏制度化以及人權不彰等問題，均將制約其大國形象。值此，地球村與網際網路世界快速發展之際，公共外交勢將在國際關係中扮演更為重要之角色。

關鍵字

全球化 ； 公共外交 ； 中美關係 ； 恐怖主義 ； 非政府組織

並列摘要

To conclude the international situation in the year 2000, we see the heat points of partial conflicting area are cooling off while the rest still remain highly tense status. The interaction among great powers is more stable compared with year 1999; however, the competition among them is becoming even more obvious. The president of the United States has eventually come to existence after cases coming and going between courts, ministers of many East Asia countries are facing the threat of recall or impeachment, no practical improvement is seen of the global trade liberalization while the economic globalization and localization has been developing quite well.
Turning the whole new leaf, the international society would still have to search its way forward by cooperation and conflict. The status of the great power PRC has been raised though, its lack of system hanging over political power and its suppression on human right will still be the same cause for negative impact on its image as a great country. At this time, speedy development of global village and internet, public diplomacy are undoubtedly becoming a more crucial role in international relation.

並列關鍵字

Globalization ； Public diplomacy ； Sino-American relations ； Terrorism ； Non-government organization