面對大規模災害的威脅,居民具備正確的生活環境風險認知、災害自救行為、防災意識、及災時應變能力,是非常重要且急迫的。緣此,本研究為求瞭解居民防災認知與避難意願,以高雄市鼓山區為研究地區,藉由災害模擬分析資料(地震災害境況模擬結果、淹水潛勢資料)、土石流潛勢溪流分佈、高雄市政府災害申報資料等,選擇影響較為嚴重的鄰里作為問卷調查之對象,探討居民防災認知一致性,用以瞭解居民防災認知程度;並運用二元羅吉斯迴歸解析其關聯性。結果顯示生活環境風險、離家避難決定、地震自救行為、土石流自救行為、逃生認知,係為影響居民面對災害時,決定避難意願之重要變數;然而生活環境風險屬於負面影響,居民愈瞭解生活環境風險,面對災害時避難意願降低,其因為即便居民對生活環境風險瞭解,但仍然會因為時間的推移,失去戒心而降低避難意願。
Facing with threat of large scale disaster it is very important for residents to learn proper cognition for environmental risk, self rescue for disaster, disasrter prevention cognition and response ability for disaster. This study aims to understand the relationship of disaster cognition and evacuation willingness of residents, Gushan district in Kaohsiung City is selected as a case study. TELES simulation results, flood inundation potential, debris flow potential, Kaohsiung City government disaster claims datum are considered as the study area and question naire objective. Binary Logistic Regression model is applied to explain the relationship. The results show living environment risk, evacuation from house decision, earthquake self rescue, variables. However living environmental risk is not explain the assumption due to the lack of perception and reduce the evacuation intention.