健康資本對高所得國家經濟成長非線性影響之研究

The Study of Nonlinear Impact of Health Capital on Economic Growth for High-income Countries

陳鳳琴(Feng-Chin Chen)

《科際整合管理研討會》 2014第17屆 (2014/06) Pp. 46-60

https://doi.org/10.6495/CIMBM.2014.004

摘要

本研究利用1995年至2011年42個高所得國家的健康資本與人均所得成長資料，並以縱橫資料（panel data）形式，應用González et al.（2004, 2005）所提出的縱橫平滑移轉迴歸模型（Panel Smooth Transition Regression Model, PSTR），以醫療保健支出占GDP比率、公共醫療支出占醫療保健支出比率和預期壽命為健康資本衡量指標，藉由醫療保健支出占GDP比率作為移轉變數的實證研究，找出醫療保健支出占GDP比率的門檻值，探討健康資本對高所得國家經濟成長的影響方向與程度，是否端賴醫療保健支出占GDP比率超過某一特定門檻值而不同。實證結果發現，當醫療保健支出占GDP比率超過7.1781%門檻值時，公共醫療支出、醫療保健支出及預期壽命對經濟成長均有顯著正向非線性影響；當醫療保健支出占GDP比率低於2.9160%門檻值時，公共醫療支出和醫療保健支出對經濟成長無顯著影響，預期壽命對經濟成長有顯著正向影響。

關鍵字

健康資本 ； 醫療保健支出 ； 預期壽命 ； 經濟成長 ； 縱橫平滑移轉迴歸模型

並列摘要

This paper uses a panel threshold model analysis to investigate the effects of health capital on the growth rate of per capital income for high-income countries over the period from 1995 to 2011, by using panel smooth transition regression model developed by González et al. (2004, 2005). We also use three alternative measures of health in our study: the ratio of health care expenditure to GDP, the ratio of public health care expenditure to health care expenditure and life expectancy. Utilizing the ratio of health care expenditure to GDP as the threshold variable to figure out that the threshold value. Investigating health capital for high-income countries, the impact of economic growth effect, whether depend on the ratio of health care expenditure to GDP exceeds a certain threshold or not. The empirical results show that, public health expenditure, health expenditure and life expectancy to economic growth have significant positive nonlinear effects when the ratio of health care expenditure to GDP upper than 7.1781% threshold; public health expenditure and health expenditure no significant impact on economic growth and life expectancy have significant positive nonlinear effects when the ratio of health care expenditure to GDP lower than 2.9160% threshold.

並列關鍵字

Health Capital ； Health Care Expenditure ； Life Expectancy ； Economic Growth ； Panel Smooth Transition Regression Model