再論婦女教育增長對生育行爲的影響：一個自然實驗下的不自然結果

Fertility: “Unnatural” Evidence of a Natural Experiment from Taiwanese Educational Reform

黃粲堯(Tsan-Yao Huang)

指導教授 ： 劉錦添

國立臺灣大學/社會科學院/經濟學研究所/碩士(2010年)

https://doi.org/10.6342/NTU.2010.02863

摘要

無資料

關鍵字

婦女教育 ； 生育 ； 自然實驗

並列摘要

A discontinous increase in the level of female education may not cause a decline in fertility. We demonstrate this fact by exploiting an exogenous change in female education level due to the 1970s' Taiwanese nine-year compulsory educational policy. We construct a list of instrumental vari- ables (IVs) valid for female education by utilizing the unexpected change in the compulsory policy so that we could infer the causal effect of education on the completed fertility by the two stage least squares technique. We report that without applying instrumental variables, the ordinary least square estimate shows a staistically significant correlation of education with fertility. Roughly, an increase of one year of education would cause 4.18 less children to be born per hundred women. Nevertheless, the causal relation may be insignificant and eliminated after we re-estimate it by IVs. In addition, we find that instead of postponing the timing of first birth, increased female education raises the probability of motherhood from 21 to 25 years old.

並列關鍵字

natural experiment ； female education ； fertility

參考文獻

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