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近五年台灣主要林產品對中國貿易依存度之分析

A Five-year Trade Dependence Analysis of Forest Products between Taiwan and China

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摘要


2003年台灣從中國大陸地區的林產品進口值佔了當年林產品進口總值的15.73%,僅次於馬來西亞與印尼;中間大陸地區是台灣進口林產品的第三大來源地區。從1990年台灣開始從中國大陸進口的林產品以來,從中國大陸進口林產品的年成長幅度幾乎都高於林產品總進口值的成長幅度。2003年時從中國大陸進口的林產品進口值,較前一年成長了9.56%。在2003年,從中國大陸進口的各類林產品進口值均較前一年增加,在林產品進口的各分類項目之比重上,木竹籐家具額占39.53%是最大者,其次為單板合板材類(20.82%),再其次則為木漿材類(17.18%)與木竹籐製品類(15.66%),此四類林產品的進口值就占了台灣自中國大陸全部林產品進口值的93.19%。因此,台灣對中國大陸的林產品進口項目,有從原料類轉為半成品和成品類的趨勢。近年來台灣對中國大陸進口林產品的貿易依存度雖有遠漸加強的趨勢,但在1998-2003年這一段期間,台灣對中國大陸進口林產品的質易依存度值卻是開始大幅減少了,而質易依存度升高的原因在1997年以前主要是因為結構性的依賴,但到了1998-2003年這一段期間,貿易依存度的依賴程度變動的原因則較不明顯,但仍有從結構性的依賴轉化為相對利益性的依賴的趨勢。

並列摘要


In 2003, Mainland China occupied 15.73% of the total importation value of forest products in Taiwan, and became the 3rd largest source of imported forest products (IFP). Since 1990, the growth rates of IFP values from mainland China are increasing, and higher than that from the global market. It indicated the trade dependence is increasing. The growth rate of IFP values from mainland China has increased to 9.56% in 2003. Four major categories, which dominated the 93.19% of the IFP market share from mainland China, are ordered by the market share as following: wooden & rattan furniture (39.53%), veneer & plywood (20.82%), pulp (17.18%), and wooden & rattan products (15.66%). The trend of that market has shifted from raw materials to semi-products or finished products. Although the trend of trade dependence in imported forest products between Taiwan and mainland China is increasing in current few years, the value of trade dependence decreased sharply since 1998. The structural dependence explained the increasing of trade dependence between Taiwan and Mainland China before 1997, and no obvious reason was recognized the trade dependence increasing during 1998-2003. The research indicated the trend of trade dependence between Taiwan and mainland China has shifted from structural dependence to relative interest dependence.

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