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兩岸關係的回顧、新情勢與前瞻

On Development of Cross-Strait Relations: Reviews and Future Perspectives

摘要


兩岸關係「政冷經熱」、「官冷民熱」的現象,隨著國民黨贏得總統大選,再度掌握政權之後發生變化。國、共兩黨自2005年初開啟政黨交流,先後舉辦三次經貿論壇所獲得的成果,成為新政府推動兩岸交流正常化的寶貴資產。北京當局對馬、蕭政府的兩岸政策表示歡迎,兩岸中斷十多年的制度化協商機制再度恢復,雙邊政治交流趨於熱絡,政治關係大幅改善。前瞻未來,兩岸經貿關係正常化乃大勢所趨,政治關係正常化則仍有一段很長的路要走,現實與理想畢竟有距離,不確定因素將考驗兩岸執政者的政治智慧,從而影響兩岸政治關係發展。

並列摘要


While cross-strait relations used to mean an appearance of ”cold in politics and heat in economics”, ”cold in public sector and heat in private sector”, they changed significantly after Ma Ying-jeou and his running mate Vincent Siew won the presidential election 22 March 2008. The new government has implemented new cross-strait policies which, to some extent, are based on some of the conclusions formed in the three Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT)-Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Economic Forums from 2005 to 2006. The Beijing authority has then welcomed Ma's new cross-strait policy. Resuming talks between the Straits Exchange Foundation (SEF) and China's Association for Relations Across the Taiwan Straits (ARATS) has attained to considerable improvement of political relations across the Strait. To look forward, the cross-strait economic exchanges expect to grow and get relaxed step by step. However, the normalization of political relations across the Taiwan Straits is still expected to take long way to go. It is because that there are some uncertain factors such as ”The 1992 Consensus”, ”Principle of One China”, … etc., that may influence normal development of cross-strait political relations.

參考文獻


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王正旭(2008)。總統大選後兩岸關係之觀察。展望與探索。6(4),8-12。

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