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臺灣對國家安全戰略概念應有的考量:以美國和以色列經驗為例

National Security Strategy Concept Considerations for Taiwan: Two Case Studies

摘要


本文概述協助臺灣發展、協調和傳遞國家安全戰略的考量因素。以美國及以色列為例,提供制定國家安全戰略概念的方法參考,目的是藉國家安全戰略內容討論臺灣如何以一獨立民主國家生存,並能為其人民提供民主、安全、健康和繁榮的環境。內文包含10個部分:(1)簡要文獻探討(2)發展臺灣國家安全戰略概念之必要性(3)美政府制定國家安全戰略官方程序及適用臺灣的考量因素(4)檢視其他具有國家安全戰略的國家(5)中國共產黨及人民解放軍戰略(6)以色列國家安全概念及對臺適用性(7)風險管理(8)臺灣發展國家安全戰略需考量之因素(9)總結(10)建議。另探討臺灣制定國家安全戰略之利與弊,並藉重大國家利益來說明每個國家及美國政治部門之異同。研究的文獻來源使用部分解密的美國官方文件,透過詮釋國家安全戰略制定的目標與實踐方案,理解其如何支持國家利益。本研究並非著眼國家安全戰略發展的綜合分析,亦非試圖分析已發表的臺灣戰略文件;相反的,將置重點於考量因素及提供進一步研究的議題。文中亦穿插討論兩岸關係(中華民國—中華人民共和國)戰略意涵,最後以簡短建議總結,希冀提升臺灣國家安全之總體概念。

並列摘要


This paper outlines considerations to develop, coordinate, and transmit a national security strategy (NSS) for Taiwan. The US and Israel provide examples of ways nations develop national security strategy concepts. The intent is to inform a NSS discussion of how Taiwan can survive as an independent democratic country and be able to provide its citizens a democratic, safe, healthy, and prosperous environment. The paper encompasses the following ten sections: (1) a short literature review, (2) references to the need for a Taiwan National Security Strategy concept, (3) formal NSS process employed by the US government and some considerations that apply to Taiwan, (4) other countries with formal NSS processes, (5) the Chinese Communist Party's (CCP) and People's Liberation Army's strategy, (6) the Israeli national security concept and its applicability to Taiwan, (7) a short review of risk management, (8) Taiwan's NSS considerations, (9) summary, and (10) recommendations and considerations. This article presents pros and cons for Taiwan of developing a formal national security strategy. Vital interests are discussed and used to illustrate similarities and differences between each country, as well as between American political administrations. By using a handful of declassified US documents, the author demonstrates how comprehensive NSS documents including clear objectives and actions intended to achieve objectives support national vital interests. The article is not a comprehensive analysis of developing national security strategies nor does it attempt to analyze published Taiwan's strategic documents; rather the article highlights issues for consideration and further research. The strategic implications of cross-strait relations (Republic of China - People's Republic of China) are interwoven into the discussion. The paper concludes with a short summary and recommendations and considerations to enhance Taiwan's national security concept.

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