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對中國大陸新重商主義與凱恩斯主義政策的反思-基於台灣經驗的思考

Rethinking Mainland China's New Mercantilism and Keynesianism Macroeconomic Policy Based on Taiwan's Experience

摘要


自1990年代以來,中國大陸的總體經濟政策盛行新重商主義和凱恩斯主義,雖然大陸目前已經創造出世界第二大GDP總值,但通貨膨脹、產業升級遲緩、經濟結構失衡等問題也隨之而來。大陸二十多年來的發展模式和面臨的問題,十分類似於台灣1960年代-1980年代間的發展歷程,並且有過之而無不及。因此,本文借由台灣經驗來反思中國大陸的新重商主義和凱恩斯主義政策,以期尋找大陸經濟未來可持續發展的方向。

並列摘要


Mainland China's macroeconomic policies have been ruled by new mercantilism and Keynesianism since 1990s. Though Mainland China has created the second biggest GDP total value, problems also appeared, such as inf1ation, slow industry upgrading, unbalanced economic structure and so on. As Mainland China's developing model during recent 20 years is similar with Taiwan's during 1960-1980s, this paper decides to rethink Mainland China's new mercantilism and Keynesianism macroeconomic policies based on Taiwan's experience, looking for a way that could help Mainland China get sustainable development.

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