我國職業技能檢定策略發展之研究-以美容美髮業證照為例

本研究以美容產業策略的內容為主軸，經由包含技能檢定，美容美髮及相關數學的應用等文獻的探討為出發點。接著以美容美髮類群的技能檢定為研究實例，包含美容職類乙級、美容職類丙級、女子美髮職類乙級、女子美髮職類丙級、男子理髮職類乙級及男子理髮職類丙級總共六種對象，根據2011年至2017年總共七年的到檢人數與合格張數之數值為基準。以傳統的數學得到六種美容美髮類群證照，到考人數與證照及格張數的差異性。再使用軟性計算中的迴歸分析與灰色GM(1,1)預測模型，進行六種美容美髮類群證照及格張數的量化預測分析。經由實際的計算及分析後，可以得到在及格率的趨勢，到檢人數與及格的張數之間呈現著平行線的狀態，表示證照的取得並不是相當容易的，顯示證照是具有公信力的。此外在量化的分析上，以誤差做為準則，也得到使用本研究所提出的數學模式是合理的。並將未來取得證照人數之預測，所有的分析及計算的結果，除了可以提供政府在制定技能檢定的的相關配套措施之外，也可以提供國內美容美髮類群專業機構或者團體辦理該專項證照配套制定時之參考。

關鍵字

美容美髮類群；美容產業策略；技能檢定；迴歸分析；灰色GM(1,1)

並列摘要

This study focuses on the content of the beauty industry strategy, starting from the literature reviews including skills verification, beauty salons, and related mathematics applications. This study also takes the skills verification of beauty salons group as research examples, including beauty class B, beauty class C, women's hair class B, women's hair C class, men's hair class B and men's hair class as example There are a total of six types of objects in the C class, based on the number of persons inspected and the number of qualifying sheets for a total of seven years from 2011 to 2017. In the traditional mathematics, six types of licenses for beauty salons were obtained, and the difference between the number of exams and the number of licenses passed was determined. Then use the regression analysis in the soft calculation and the GM (1,1) prediction model to carry out the quantitative prediction and analysis of the number of licenses for the six types of beauty salons. After the calculation and analysis, the trend of pass rate can be obtained, and parallel lines appear between the number of checks and the number of passes, indicating that the obtaining of the license is not easy, and that showing the license is credibility. In addition, on the quantitative analysis, using the error as a criterion, it is reasonable to use the mathematical model proposed in this study. And then the number of qualified persons and qualifying sheets in the next will be used for forecasting. The results of all analyses and calculations may provide the government with the relevant supporting measures for the formulation of skills checks, and may also provide domestic beauty and hairdressing professional groups. The results of this study can also provide the related institutions or organizations to handle the reference for the development of this special license.