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投資人偏好與資產配置

Investor's Preferences and Assets Allocation

摘要


本研究由行為財務學角度,探討投資人常犯的認知偏誤,瞭解哪些屬性會影響投資行為。然後再配合投資人偏好與資產配置理論,建構投資組合。本研究實證發現投資人風險趨避程度越高時,無風險資產投資的比重應愈高。效率前緣上的投資組合報酬率和涉險值呈正相關,故欲建構高報酬的投資組合時,可以利用VAR來控管投資組合風險,尤其當投資人偏好電子類股時,應更加注意風險控管。投資人具有簡化分析傾向,資產配置容易遲滯,為了避免暴露在過度風險,投資人於不景氣時期,應提高固定收益證券投資比例,降低電子類股投資比重。

並列摘要


This paper studies the cognitive biases of investors and the factors that influence investors' behavior. We constructed an assets allocation model to deal with investors' preferences. Empirical results indicate that the more risk averse an individual is, the higher his investment in risk-free assets will be. Returns of portfolios on efficient frontier are positively related to their VAR. This suggests that when trying to build high-return portfolios, investors can use VAR to control and manage portfolio risks. Investors who prefer electronics stocks should all the more pay attention to risk management. Thus, the investor who prefers electronic industry stocks can use VAR to manage portfolio risk. The narrow framing effect will keep investor's portfolio unchanged when the economic state was changing. To avoid being exposed to excessive levels of risk, investors should divest towards fixed-income securities and reduce their position on electronics industry stocks during periods of recession.

並列關鍵字

Behavioral Finance Assets Allocation VAR

參考文獻


Barber,B.M.,Odean,T.(1999).The courage of misguided convictions.Financial Analysts Journal.55(6),41-55.
Barber,B.M.,Odean,T.(2000).The common stock investment performance of individual investors.Journal of Finance.2,773-806.
Barber,B.M.,Odean,T.(2001).The internet and the investor.The Journal of Economic Perspectives.15(1),41-54.
Barber,B.M.,Odean,T.(2001).Boys will be Boys: gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment.Quarterly Journal of Economics.116(1),261-292.
Bielecki, T.R.,Pliska, S.R.,Sherris,M.(1998).Risk sensitive asset allocation.Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 21.

被引用紀錄


柯中偉(2010)。外匯投資組合之風險值估計-分量迴歸的應用〔碩士論文,淡江大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6846/TKU.2010.01225
黃噿玲(2014)。考量風險偏好下之資產投資組合〔碩士論文,中原大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6840/cycu201400535
蔡柔忻(2009)。風險態度、最適投資組合及其風險值分析〔碩士論文,中原大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6840/cycu200900899
陳岍樺(2008)。以蒙地卡羅模擬不同投資屬性投資者最適化投資組合之研究〔碩士論文,元智大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6838/YZU.2008.00259
呂宗益(2015)。景氣循環下之最適資產配置〔碩士論文,國立臺北商業大學〕。華藝線上圖書館。https://doi.org/10.6818/NTUB.2015.00003

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