海峽兩岸經濟政策對我國經濟發展之探討與分析

The Discussion of Cross-strait Economic Policy on Taiwan Economic evelopment

葛綺文(Chi-Wen Kue)

指導教授 ： 吳昭彥

義守大學/電機資訊學院/資訊管理學系/碩士(2014年)

https://doi.org/10.6343/ISU.2014.00126

摘要

本研究以海峽兩岸經濟政策問題為起點，探討兩岸經濟發展歷程及現況，依循兩岸歷史、政治、經濟、國際等因素為依標，採以SWOT與鑽石模式作為分析架構，再經由過去兩岸經濟市場間不同之發展歷程，勾勒出其相對之互補性，再輔以海峽兩岸經濟合作協議、投資保障和促進協議與服務貿易協議等三個政策，依經濟環境的變遷及三個政策要素相互牽引之影響層面，對各種不同情境歸納出各種策略的可行性或其適用性，找尋未來我國經濟發展之方向及策略。
研究結果指出，在生產要素方面，臺灣投資技術與資金，中國大陸則是勞力、場地與市場，是兩岸在貿易上有所創造，增加彼此的競爭力。在市場需求方面，臺灣的國內市場小與資源不足，而中國大陸是一個快速發展的經濟體，為了擴大雙邊經貿往來，是我不可忽視的一個重要市場。在相關與支援產業方面，工廠低利潤凸顯中國大陸模式不可持續，兩岸業者勢必要走向產業轉型之途，方能避免目前的困境。在企業的策略結構與競爭方面，臺灣對智慧財產權保護較為周全，加上政府補助企業在臺設立研發中心之優惠措施，將有助於歐、美、日企業選擇將臺灣作為進入中國大陸市場之門戶，優先與臺商合作研發及生產。在政府(經濟政策)方面，兩岸經濟政策的實施有賴於相關政策的配合、社會大眾、利益團體之間對於經濟協議上的共識。在機會方面，臺灣與中國大陸雙方在貨品關稅的降低，消除非關稅上的障礙等貿易自由化的成效，而再產品的加工、貨物的轉換、物流配銷等功能上的增加，使得臺灣有機會成為全功能運籌中心。
本研究詳實的列出兩岸經濟政策對臺灣經濟的影響並援引若干實際案例作為傍證，希望能提供臺灣政府與中國大陸談判經濟政策時做為參考，能確實為爭取臺灣獲利，而不損及臺灣所有人民的權利，避免臺灣社會貧富差距不斷的擴大，提出策略不讓實質薪資成長率減緩甚至下跌，並在此做成結論並提出客觀建議。

關鍵字

海峽兩岸 ； 經濟政策 ； SWOT分析 ； 鑽石模式

並列摘要

In this study, the cross-strait economic policy issues as a starting point to explore the qualification process and the status of cross-strait economic development, follow the cross-strait history, politics, economy, international and other factors according to standard, adopted in SWOT and Diamond Model as an analytical framework, and then through the past cross-strait economic market between different qualifications development process, outline the complementarity of its opposite, supplemented by ECFA, investment protection and promotion agreement, Cross-Strait Agreement on Trade in Services of the three policies, according to changes in economic conditions and the three policy elements, the mutual influence levels of traction on a variety of different scenarios, summarized the various strategies feasibility or applicability to find the future direction of Taiwan's economic development and strategies.
The results found that the factors of production, Taiwan is investing in technology and capital, Mainland China is labor, space and the market, and create something on the strait trade, increase mutual competitiveness. Demand in the market, the domestic market is small and insufficient resources in Taiwan, and mainland China is a rapidly developing economy, in order to expand bilateral economic and trade exchanges, is an important market can not be ignored. In related and supporting industries, factories in Mainland China highlights the low profit model is not sustainable, cross-strait industry is bound to go the way of industrial restructuring in order to avoid the current difficulties. In the corporate structure and competition policy, intellectual property rights protection in Taiwan for more comprehensive, with government grants incentives to enterprises to set up R & D centers in Taiwan, will contribute to European, American and Japanese companies have chosen to enter the Chinese mainland market as Taiwan's portal priority cooperation with Taiwanese R & D and production. Government (economic policy), the implementation of cross-strait economic policy depends on policy coordination, the community, between interest groups for consensus on economic agreements. Opportunities, Taiwan and Mainland China to enhance mutual on goods tariffs reduce and eliminate the effectiveness of barriers and other non-tariff on trade liberalization, making the conversion and then the product processing, cargo, logistics distribution and other functions, making Taiwan the opportunity to become fully functional logistics center.
In this study, detailed lists affect cross-strait economic policy on Taiwan's economy, with pratical case studies, hoping to provide the Taiwanese government when the Chinese mainland to negotiate economic policy and as a reference, to really fight for Taiwan's profitability, but without prejudice and all Taiwanese rights of the people, to avoid Social inequality in Taiwan continuously expanded proposed strategy does not allow real wage growth rate slowed, or even decline, and this made the conclusion and make objective recommendations.

並列關鍵字

Cross-strait ； Economic Policy ； SWOT analysis ； Diamond Model

參考文獻

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