從「安全困境」至「防衛困境」：臺灣國防的反思與策勵

From "Security Dilemma" to "Defense Dilemma": Reflections and Options of Taiwan's National Defense

陳偉華(Wei-Hwa Chen)

《遠景基金會季刊》 11卷3期 (2010/07) Pp. 59-97

https://doi.org/10.7063/PQ.201007.0059

摘要

理想上，追求兩岸關係和平穩定發展，符合臺灣國家安全利益與人民福祉，值得重視與努力。事實上，兩岸能否和平並非取決單方面主觀意願。目前看來，中國未放棄武力犯臺的主張與部署，使得臺灣在尋求兩岸和平的道路上，與國家安全中的國防投資，產生若干扞格現象。本文研究發現，若臺灣將兩岸和平穩定與經濟發展視為國家安全目標，權衡資源配置與防衛成本時，可能產生國防資源限縮、戰略失焦與兵力部署兩難的防衛問題。

關鍵字

安全困境 ； 兵力部署 ； 防衛成本 ； 防衛困境 ； 戰略設計

並列摘要

Ideally, seeking peaceful development and stability across the Taiwan Strait is in the interest of Taiwan's national security and in favor of social well-being. However, whether peace is achievable does not only depends on unilateral efforts from Taiwan, but rests on cooperation from both sides of the Taiwan Strait. Given the fact that the People's Republic of China has never renounced the use of forces against Taiwan, judging from the present situation across the Taiwan Strait, Taiwan would face a serious contradiction between its pursuits of national security, on the one hand, and peaceful coexistence with mainland China, on the other hand. The finding is that Taiwan will face defense dilemmas, including defense budget cut, strategy disorientation and problem of force deployment, if Taiwan considers resources allocation and defense cost with the goals of seeking Cross-Strait peace and economic development.

並列關鍵字

Security Dilemma ； Force Deployment ； Cost of Defense ； Defense Dilemma ； Strategic Planning

參考文獻

董霖(1995)。國際公法與國際組織。臺北:臺灣商務書局。

Barnet, Roger W.、謝豐安譯(2005)。不對稱作戰：當前美國軍力面臨之挑戰。臺北:國防部史政編譯室。

洪志安()。

陳偉華()。

高大力(2009)。中共2009年國防預算增長及其可能發展。中共研究。43(3)，93-108。