台灣電子產業出口之經濟模式

An Economic Model about Taiwan’s Electronic Industry Export

鄭羽彤(Yu-Tung Cheng)

指導教授 ： 何瓊芳

中原大學/商學院/國際貿易研究所/碩士(2011年)

https://doi.org/10.6840/cycu201100436

摘要

自1980年代以來，台灣電子產業在全球電子供應鏈中扮演了舉足輕重之角色，從早期帶動台灣高科技成長的資訊及半導體產業，到2000年代以後興起的光電產業，皆為提升台灣經濟成長的主力。近年台灣出口貨物價值排行榜之前10名皆為電子產業，其總出口約占台灣總出口值之24%，足見電子產業對台灣經濟成長之重要性。
本研究以台灣電子產業出口值為應變數，而以美元兌新台幣匯率、電子產業就業人數、員工平均教育程度、員工平均薪資及用電量為自變數，再利用複迴歸方式進行實證分析，建立一個電子業出口之經濟分析模式，結果發現在5%顯著水準下，台灣電子產業之就業人數及用電量均會顯著影響該產業出口值，若在10%顯著水準下，台灣電子產業員工平均教育程度也會顯著影響該產業出口值。而美元兌新台幣匯率及台灣電子產業員工平均薪資與該產業出口值之關係均不顯著。
本文實證結果顯示人力資源及能源對於電子產業之重要性，建議政府應使能源供應穩定，而業界應重視員工福利及教育訓練，並建立良好的升遷制度，以吸引更多高學歷優秀人才投入此產業。

關鍵字

複迴歸分析 ； 出口值 ； 台灣電子產業

並列摘要

Starting 1980s, Taiwan’s electronic industry plays an important role in the global electronic supply chain, from high-tech growth in information and semiconductor industries of earlier stage to optical- electro industry in the 2000s, all are major engines for Taiwan’s economic growth. Among Taiwan’s major export goods, top ten are all from the electronic industry which took 24 percent share of export values, evident of the importance of electronic industry to Taiwan’s economic growth.

This study uses the multiple regression model to conduct an empirical research. The export value of Taiwan’s electronic industry is used as the dependant variable；five independent variables are NT$/US$ exchange rate, employment population of the electronic industry, average education level, average salary, and the electricity consumption. Empirical results show that employment population and electricity consumption significantly affect the total export value under 5 percent significant level. Moreover, the average education level also significantly affects the export value under 10 percent significant level. However, the NT$/US$ exchange rate and average salary would not significantly affect the total export value.

The findings illustrate the importance of human resource and energy consumption and therefore suggest that the government should provide more stable energy supply and the industry should emphasize training on employees and their welfare and to establish a better promotion system in order to attract more qualified people with higher academic degrees to join in the industry.

並列關鍵字

multiple regression analysis ； export value ； Taiwan electronic industry

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